Analysts Say Trump Trade Wars Would Harm the Entire US Energy Sector, From Oil to Solar

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Why is this conflict happening? The short type is that Trump and his advisers judge that tariffs will thief nan US system by encouraging building of factories here, reducing waste and acquisition deficits and punishing barriers to introduction of US products successful different countries.

“We will supercharge our home business base,” Trump said successful an April 2 reside announcing tariffs connected astir each US trading partner. “We will pry unfastened overseas markets and break down overseas waste and acquisition barriers and ultimately, much accumulation astatine location will mean stronger title and little prices for consumers.”

A tariff is simply a taxation charged by a authorities connected imports. As nan US authorities has accrued its tariffs, different countries person retaliated pinch their ain increases.

Adding to nan chaos is that nan policies often change, pinch nan president often announcing shifts connected societal media, arsenic happened successful caller days connected tariffs connected nan European Union.

I said pinch Chris Seiple, Wood Mackenzie’s vice president for powerfulness and renewables, to drill down connected nan parts of nan study that woody pinch renewables. Here is that conversation, edited for magnitude and clarity:

Dan Gearino: For renewable power industries, is nan large problem that tariffs make everything much expensive, aliases is location much to it than that?

Chris Seiple: Sure, things getting much costly is simply a large portion of it. I deliberation nan 2nd challenge, and this is benignant of unsocial to nan powerfulness business, is that there’s a dense manus of regulation. And truthful there’s a batch of US utilities that person to spell done beautiful extended regulatory processes to get support for what they want to build. Being successful a world wherever there’s truthful overmuch tariff uncertainty, they don’t cognize what it’s going to costs to build what they want to build. It’s peculiarly challenging for this manufacture to beryllium capable to navigate that, and it impacts renewables much than it impacts, say, different sectors for illustration state aliases coal, because we trust upon imports of instrumentality to specified a bigger degree, particularly for artillery storage, wherever we’re fundamentally wholly limited astatine this constituent connected imports from China.

With artillery storage, location has been an effort to summation manufacturing capacity successful nan US. How would you qualify wherever that stands?

Very early days. A batch of artillery manufacturing that’s going connected wrong nan US is meant to proviso batteries to EV vehicles, not stationary utility-scale retention projects. And truthful nan magnitude of manufacturing capacity successful comparison to what nan request is for that instrumentality results successful america importing good much than 90 percent of what we need.

Chris Seiple is Wood Mackenzie’s vice president for powerfulness and renewables.

Photograph: Wood Mackenzie