Polish presidential elections 2025 - who's leading in the polls?

Published on 25/05/2025 - 15:37 GMT+2

After nan first ballot connected 18 May, candidates Rafal Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki person precocious to nan 2nd information of nan Polish statesmanlike election. The title is expected to beryllium tight, pinch some candidates going caput to caput according to nan latest polls.

So who is expected to triumph and what precisely do nan latest polls show?

According to nan latest aggregation of polls, Karol Nawrocki and Rafal Trzaskowski are tied, pinch some receiving 46.3% support.

Trzaskowski, who besides ran successful Poland's past statesmanlike election, mislaid narrowly to incumbent Andrzej Duda astatine nan time, winning 48.97% of nan ballot compared to Duda's 51.03%. In nan first information of this year's statesmanlike election, Trzaskowski won by a constrictive margin, winning 31.36% of nan vote, intimately followed by Nawrocki pinch 29.54% of nan vote.

A cardinal attraction for nan candidates moving successful nan 2nd information will beryllium seeking nan votes of those who chose different candidates during nan first ballot. Candidates from nan astir right-wing parties Slawomir Mentzen and Grzegorz Braun won 14.8% and 6.34% of nan ballot respectively. According to experts, it is their supporters who whitethorn determine nan result of nan 2nd round. Recently, some Trzaskowski and Nawrocki met Mentzen to talk their views connected his YouTube channel.

The predetermination will beryllium a captious infinitesimal for nan existent governing coalition, which is struggling to present reforms successful nan look of President Andrzej Duda's blimpish opposition. He is presently serving his 2nd word and is truthful ineligible for re-election.

The predetermination results will find nan expertise of nan incumbent conjugation authorities to make important decisions connected cardinal issues successful nan country, specified arsenic civilian partnerships and abortion rights, but besides migration and nationalist defence.

The 2nd information of nan statesmanlike predetermination will return spot connected 1 June. After they are completed, nan results will beryllium published by nan State Electoral Commission (PKW). The victor will clasp agency for a play of 5 years, aft which he aliases she will beryllium eligible to tally for a 2nd term. The president-elect will return agency earlier a associated convention of nan Sejm and Senate connected 6 August.